THE ROAD TO RUIN

Casino managers love patrons who “double up”.

It occurs to most gamblers, sooner or later, that if they double the bet after losing, then they will get back all they lost and make a profit when eventually they win.

However, the net result of this is usually that the gambler ends up turning a small loss into a big one.

It is therefore depressing to see people who are supposed to understand business doing the same thing and responding to failure by pouring in more money without changing strategy.

These reckless gamblers include most major banks, the Big Three automobile manufacturers, and the governments of the USA and the UK, whose response to the problems caused by their deficits is to run up bigger deficits.

Humble entrepreneurs should learn from their mistakes.

Never reinforce failure. Study why something has failed and make appropriate changes before committing another penny. No problem was ever solved by more of the same.

If a change of strategy is not enough, then have the courage to cut losses. Close an operation rather than lose the whole company, and close a company rather than lose everything.

Above all, when in a hole, stop digging.

Comments

March 12. 2009 05:58

Vafa Taleban

Yep, the old geometric progression, bet a pound on the 1st of January and if you double, only once a day, by the end of the month you are betting over a billion.  
The Lloyds debacle for example, when they opened down 14% on Monday, meant that we had just lost the equivalent of the ENTIRE UK defence budget for the next seven years.  

Vafa Taleban

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